Australian Bonds Slump After Reading Better-Than expected January Employment Report

The Australian government bonds slumped Thursday after reading the better-than-expected January employment report. The detail was mixed, however, with the unemployment rate a touch lower but full-time employment showing renewed weakness.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves inversely to its price, jumped 1 basis point to 2.81 percent, the yield on 15-year note also rose 1/2 basis point to 3.25 percent and the yield on short-term 2-year moved 1/2 basis point higher to 1.87 percent by 04:30 GMT.

The January labour force release reported broadly as expected employment growth of 13.5k, with the unemployment rate dropping a touch to 5.7%. The mix of employment growth tempered the outcome, however, with full-time jobs dropping a sharp 45k.

This decline comes after three months of full-time gains, which in turn followed the very weak result for September. Those wanting a negative take on the labour market will focus on the fact that over the past 12 months 56k full-time jobs have been lost even as just over 100k jobs have been added. We do note that hours worked rose overall for the month.

“The January employment data has no impact on our view that the RBA is on hold for an extended period. While the strong lift in business conditions this week points to better times ahead, there is still spare capacity in the labour market. Thus we are still some way off from expecting a lift in domestic inflation pressures that will necessitate a shift away from a neutral stance,” ANZ said in its latest research report.

Meanwhile, the ASX 200 index traded flat at 5,756.50 at 05:00GMT, and at 05:00GMT, the FxWirePro’s Hourly AUD Strength Index remained slightly bullish at 97.86 (a reading above +75 indicates a bullish trend, while that below -75 a bearish trend). For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com

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Fxwirepro: Aud/cad Breaks Major Trendline Resistance at 1.0055, Good to Go Long on Dips

  • AUD/CAD has broken major trendline resistance at 1.0055, bias higher.
     
  • Slight intraday weakness seen which we would recommend using as buying opportunities.
     
  • Aussie dampened after poor employment data which is dragging the pair lower.
     
  • Technical studies on weekly charts are strongly bullish, we see reversal in trend only on break below 100-DMA at 0.9970.
     

Support levels – 1.0038 (5-DMA), 1.0020 (50% Fib retrace of 1.0398 to 0.9644 fall), 0.9987 (20-DMA)

Resistance levels – 1.0110 (61.8% Fib), 1.0157 (Sept 27 high), 1.0236 (78.6% Fib)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bearish               Neutral       
4H          Neutral                Neutral       
1D          Bullish                Neutral        
1W         Bullish                Neutral      

Recommendation: Good to go long on dips around 1.0060/70, SL: 0.9960, TP: 1.0110/ 1.0150/ 1.0230

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro’s Hourly AUD Spot Index was at 110.416(Highly bullish), while Hourly CAD Spot Index was at -16.5398 (Neutral) at 0440 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro’s Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company – www.instaforex.com

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